LF-4 odds

Discussion in 'General Archive' started by _-DarkOverLord-_, Sep 29, 2014.

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  1. Can a mod or someone confirm if you have Apis and Zues drones filled do LF-4 odds increase
    in booty chest? Would appreciate an official answer just need some clarification on this.
     
  2. lol i don't think they have this kind of info. they don't even know what are % for lf-4 in boty or in gates.
    but i gues everything get litle boost. though odds are not in our favor...
    i think they riged boty boxes, before i culd of get lf-4 on any day with 30k or so uri now i spend on x2 day 50k some times more and can't get single lf-4 from damn boty.
     
  3. .-Raijin-.

    .-Raijin-. User

    _-DarkOverLord-_, Unfortunately we do not have any Official stats on this. I have moved your thread to a more appropriate section where there are many people who have done research on this and may be able to provide you with some better answers.

    Best regards,
    .-Raijin-.
     
  4. Well... I am pretty sure this is how the system works. I am not an official source but I am pretty sure this is correct :) Not just some random crap but actual thinking.

    ALL % USED ARE FROM MY IMAGINATION, LF4 IS NOT 0,5% AND AMMO IS NOT 93,5% ETC

    If we imagine that LF4 chance is 0,50% and apis part is 5,00% and ammo chance is 93,50%
    When LF4 is 0,5%, apis 5% and ammo 93,5%, according to probabilities you will get one LF4 for every 200 box opened.

    Now. If we remove apis from there... 0,5% LF4 and ammo 93,5%. That means you will get LF4 for every 187 box opened.
    1 in 187 makes the probability 0,53475...% and ammo 99,46525...%.

    What I am trying to say here, that if it does increase the odds, the increase is extremely small, it does exist, but it is so small that it won't be noticed :) 0,5% and 0,53475% are not much different :D

    When you can't get apis parts, your chance of getting everything else is increased. But the lower the chance is, the less it will increase in solid % units. Ammo chance will increase by like 93,5%->99,5% which is 6% increase but LF4 will only go from 0,50%->0,53%, only 0,03% increase because the starting % is so small. :)

    (so every time you collect booty, chance of getting ammo is 6% higher than before and chance of LF4 is 0,03% higher than before)

    ALL % USED ARE FROM MY IMAGINATION, LF4 IS NOT 0,5% AND AMMO IS NOT 93,5% ETC

    I hope you understood what I tried to say and it helped xD
     
    _-DarkOverLord-_ and jackknife like this.
  5. El_Burro

    El_Burro User

    That is just one of the possible ways to redistribute the odds.
    While the calculus you explained seems to be correct, there is no evidence that the odds are evenly redistributed to the other outcomes.
    It might aswell just increase the chances for ammunition and stuff while the chances for LF4 remain constant.
    Nobody knows and nobody will ever find out.

    BTW I am slightly offended that for you "random crap" is the opposite of actual thinking ;)
     
    Darkomaani. likes this.